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Location: UFOUpDatesList.Com > 1997 > Nov > Nov 20

Re: ETH [Extra Terrestrial Hypothesis] &c

From: Steven Kaeser <steve@konsulting.com>
Date: Wed, 19 Nov 1997 11:47:14 -0500
Fwd Date: Thu, 20 Nov 1997 08:12:11 -0500
Subject: Re: ETH [Extra Terrestrial Hypothesis] &c

>Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 23:52:31 -0600 (CST)
>To: UFO UpDates - Toronto <updates@globalserve.net>
>From: Dennis <dstacy@texas.net>
>Subject: Re: UFO UpDate: Re: ETH [Extra Terrestrial Hypothesis] &c

>>Date: Tue, 18 Nov 1997 13:55:06 +0000
>>To: UFO UpDates - Toronto <updates@globalserve.net>
>>From: Sean Jones <tedric@tedric.demon.co.uk>
>>Subject: Re: UFO UpDate: Re: ETH [Extra Terrestrial Hypothesis] &c

>>Now if Budd has no *real* idea of the amount of people that have
>>been abducted then who has? So a speculation of "4 million"
>>could be way out OR an _under_ estimate.

>>Who Knows?

>>        Are you a man or a mouse, come on squeek up!

>                       Sean Jones

>Dear Sean:

>And, yes, I could be the Queen or King of England.

>Who knows?

If the combine an infinite Universe with the law of averages, you
probably ARE the King AND the Queen of England in some distant
places, but that's the danger of playing with statistics.

[text deleted]

I seem to recall that the "4 million" figure was originally given
as a reference to the projected number of abductees worldwide,
and not just to the U.S.  But, it would be interesting to see who
had originally come up with that projection and what it was based
on.  I have seen at least one analysis conducted that questioned
the number of aliens and craft that it would take to accomplish
the large number that had been projected, and while the number
was high, it wasn't beyond the scope of reason (whatever that
means in this genre).

However, in the end it is only a projection based on a number of
annecdotal "knowns" and speculative "unknowns".

Perhaps someone can write a good book on this subject, but they
should target their audiance well.


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