From: Jim Deardorff <jimdeardorff.nul> Date: Wed, 27 Mar 2013 14:25:56 -0700 Archived: Thu, 28 Mar 2013 18:04:02 -0400 Subject: Re: Fermi's Paradox Again >From: Ray Dickenson <r.dickenson.nul> >To: <post.nul> >Date: Wed, 27 Mar 2013 12:13:29 -0000 >Subject: Fermi's Paradox Again >It's said th>at in 1950, working at Los Alamos National >Laboratory, the physicist Enrico Fermi was in casual >conversation with colleagues Emil Konopinski, Edward Teller and >Herbert York. The men were discussing UFO reports and ET >possibilities. Then, during lunch Fermi suddenly exclaimed, >"Where are they?" or "Where is everybody?". He then calculated >that Earth should have been visited long ago and many times >over. >Since then that so-called paradox has been used by 'skepti- >bunkers' as an argument against the existence of ETs or of any >ntelligent life elsewhere in the Universe. >That argument rests on some unassailable logic (Fermi's), >followed by shaky assumptions and an even shakier proclamation: >Logic >If intelligent life has arisen elsewhere, then logically - >1) it is most likely to have arisen in many places; >2) it is very improbable that humans were the first; >3) it is extremely likely that some groups are tens or hundreds >of millions of years more advanced than us. >Assumptions >1) that such advanced groups would have explored our galaxy; >2) that such exploration would mean Earth had been visited many >times; >3) that the 'explorers' would have made themselves known to us, >either directly or by leaving message(s) to be found by us >(because each 'visit' might be at intervals of more than a >million years); >Proclamation >"... therefore intelligent life cannot exist elsewhere in the >Universe" Ray, Assumption 3) above, 2nd part, is unduly limited but is on the right track. In a galaxy with billions of planets, a tiny fraction of which could have spawned intelligent life hundreds of millions of years ahead of us in evolution, and with telescopic means (only now becoming apparent to us) of detecting from afar which planets have atmospheres containing oxygen and life, and with methods of interstellar travel many millennia beyond our present restrictions of rocketry and relativity, any such "messages" from ETs could be very frequent, not at intervals of millions of years. So, why not allow that these "messages" could be in the form of brief UFO sightings, crop-circle formations, hole-punch clouds, etc.? These would then be products of an alien strategy of making themselves and their capabilities known to us only gradually and covertly, since WWII and up to the present. There's now been enough time to conclude such aliens are not around to destroy or subjegate us. Instead, it seems that the policy of those in charge of the UFO sightings is to allow their presence to become known beyond all doubt to those with curiosity who can accept it, while remaining fictional or imaginary to others (e.g., mainstream scientists and religious fundamentalists). This in turn indicates, at least to me, their exercise of favorable though neutral morality, and an ethic of not forcing their presence upon society. This theme is included in the 2005 paper by me, Haisch, Maccabee and Puthoff at: http://www.ufoskeptic.org/JBIS.pdf By 1950 Enrico should have been aware of all the UFO reports of the preceding 3 or 4 years. Perhaps he had them in the back of his mind when asking his question. Jim Deardorff Listen to 'Strange Days... Indeed' - The PodCast At: http://www.virtuallystrange.net/ufo/sdi/program/ These contents above are copyright of the author and UFO UpDates - Toronto. They may not be reproduced without the express permission of both parties and are intended for educational use only.
[ Next Message | Previous Message | This Day's Messages ]
This Month's Index |
UFO UpDates - Toronto - Operated by Errol Bruce-Knapp