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Re: Fermi's Paradox Again

From: Jim Deardorff <jimdeardorff.nul>
Date: Wed, 27 Mar 2013 14:25:56 -0700
Archived: Thu, 28 Mar 2013 18:04:02 -0400
Subject: Re: Fermi's Paradox Again

>From: Ray Dickenson <r.dickenson.nul>
>To: <post.nul>
>Date: Wed, 27 Mar 2013 12:13:29 -0000
>Subject: Fermi's Paradox Again

>It's said th>at in 1950, working at Los Alamos National
>Laboratory, the physicist Enrico Fermi was in casual
>conversation with colleagues Emil Konopinski, Edward Teller and
>Herbert York. The men were discussing UFO reports and ET
>possibilities. Then, during lunch Fermi suddenly exclaimed,
>"Where are they?" or "Where is everybody?". He then calculated
>that Earth should have been visited long ago and many times

>Since then that so-called paradox has been used by 'skepti-
>bunkers' as an argument against the existence of ETs or of any
>ntelligent life elsewhere in the Universe.

>That argument rests on some unassailable logic (Fermi's),
>followed by shaky assumptions and an even shakier proclamation:


>If intelligent life has arisen elsewhere, then logically -

>1) it is most likely to have arisen in many places;
>2) it is very improbable that humans were the first;
>3) it is extremely likely that some groups are tens or hundreds
>of millions of years more advanced than us.


>1) that such advanced groups would have explored our galaxy;
>2) that such exploration would mean Earth had been visited many
>3) that the 'explorers' would have made themselves known to us,
>either directly or by leaving message(s) to be found by us
>(because each 'visit' might be at intervals of more than a
>million years);


>"... therefore intelligent life cannot exist elsewhere in the


Assumption 3) above, 2nd part, is unduly limited but is on the
right track. In a galaxy with billions of planets, a tiny
fraction of which could have spawned intelligent life hundreds
of millions of years ahead of us in evolution, and with
telescopic means (only now becoming apparent to us) of detecting
from afar which planets have atmospheres containing oxygen and
life, and with methods of interstellar travel many millennia
beyond our present restrictions of rocketry and relativity, any
such "messages" from ETs could be very frequent, not at
intervals of millions of years.

So, why not allow that these "messages" could be in the form of
brief UFO sightings, crop-circle formations, hole-punch clouds,
etc.? These would then be products of an alien strategy of
making themselves and their capabilities known to us only
gradually and covertly, since WWII and up to the present.
There's now been enough time to conclude such aliens are not
around to destroy or subjegate us. Instead, it seems that the
policy of those in charge of the UFO sightings is to allow their
presence to become known beyond all doubt to those with
curiosity who can accept it, while remaining fictional or
imaginary to others (e.g., mainstream scientists and religious
fundamentalists). This in turn indicates, at least to me, their
exercise of favorable though neutral morality, and an ethic of
not forcing their presence upon society.

This theme is included in the 2005 paper by me, Haisch, Maccabee
and Puthoff at:


By 1950 Enrico should have been aware of all the UFO reports of
the preceding 3 or 4 years. Perhaps he had them in the back of
his mind when asking his question.

Jim Deardorff

Listen to 'Strange Days... Indeed' - The PodCast



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